{"id":3753,"date":"2014-02-01T14:09:08","date_gmt":"2014-02-01T05:09:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/unikorea21.com\/?p=3753"},"modified":"2018-08-05T23:45:26","modified_gmt":"2018-08-05T14:45:26","slug":"%ec%99%b8%ec%8b%a0%ec%9d%bd%ea%b8%b0-why-does-china-coddle-north-korea","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/unikorea21.com\/?p=3753","title":{"rendered":"\uc678\uc2e0\uc77d\uae30 | \uc911\uad6d, \ubd81\ud55c\uc5d0 \uca54\uca54\ub9e4\ub294 \uae4c\ub2ed? (Why Does China Coddle North Korea?) 2014\ub144 2\uc6d4\ud638"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><strong>\uc678\uc2e0\uc77d\uae30 | January. 12, 2014 By Jonathan D. Pollack<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong> Why Does China Coddle North Korea?<\/strong><br \/>\n\uc911\uad6d, \ubd81\ud55c\uc5d0 \uca54\uca54\ub9e4\ub294 \uae4c\ub2ed?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Mr. Jang\u2019s fall from power is the latest in a long succession of Chinese policy failures in North Korea. Many analysts argue that North Korea is a buffer state for China, used by Beijing to insulate it from American pressure. But the reverse is more the case: China is a buffer state for North Korea, for Beijing continues to be Pyongyang\u2019s primary enabler.<\/p>\n<p>\uc624\ub7ab\ub3d9\uc548 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uc5b4 \uc628 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ubd81\uc815\ucc45 \uc2e4\ud328 \uc911 \uac00\uc7a5 \ucd5c\uadfc \uac83\uc740 \uc7a5\uc131\ud0dd\uc758 \uc2e4\uac01\uc774\ub2e4. \ub9ce\uc740 \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \ubd81\ud55c\uc774 \ubca0\uc774\uc9d5\uc744 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc73c\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 \ubcf4\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uc644\ucda9\uad6d\uac00\ub77c\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc740 \uadf8 \ubc18\ub300\uc774\ub2e4 : \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd81\ud55c\uc758 \uc870\ub825\uc790\uc600\uace0, \ud3c9\uc591\uc758 \uc644\ucda9\uc9c0 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud574 \uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>Chinese foreign policy currently appears bold and assertive, but on the peninsula China\u2019s stance remains exceedingly risk-averse. The question is why Beijing continues to exhibit such caution, even outright timidity, toward the North.<\/p>\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ub300\ub2f4\ud558\uace0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \ub300\uc678\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ud3bc\uccd0\uc654\ub294\ub370, \ud55c\ubc18\ub3c4\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9cc\ud07c\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uadf9\ub3c4\ub85c \uc704\ud5d8\uac10\uc218\ub97c \ud68c\ud53c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \uc65c \uadf8\ub807\uac8c \ubd81\ud55c\uc5d0\uac8c \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7fd\uace0, \uc2ec\uc9c0\uc5b4\ub294 \uc18c\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc77c\uae4c?<\/p>\n<p>Some argue that the legacy of the Korean War weighs heavily on the minds of more traditional constituencies within the Chinese Communist Party and army. But deeper, current anxieties also inhibit Beijing. China fears that extreme actions by an unpredictable, heavily armed neighbor with a xenophobic leadership could trigger a larger crisis on the peninsula that would quickly involve China. Lacking realistic options to control North Korean behavior, China prefers instead to avoid doing anything that might alienate Pyongyang.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \ub2f9\uacfc \uad70\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294 \ubcf4\uc218\uc801\uc778 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uce35\uc774 \ud55c\uad6d \uc804\uc7c1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2ec\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ubd80\ub2f4\uac10\uc744 \uac00\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ubcf8\uc9c8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ubd88\uc548 \uc694\uc18c\ub4e4 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc911\uad6d\uc744 \uc6c0\uce20\ub9ac\uac8c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \uc678\uad6d\uc778\ud610\uc624\uc99d\uc5d0 \uac78\ub9b0 \ub4ef\ud55c \uc9c0\ub3c4\ubd80\uac00 \uc9c0\ubc30\ud558\ub294 \uc774 \uc608\uce21\ubd88\ud5c8\uc758 \uc911\ubb34\uc7a5\ub41c \uc774\uc6c3\uc774 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801\uc778 \ud589\ub3d9\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c\ubc18\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ucee4\ub2e4\ub780 \uc704\uae30\ub97c \uc57c\uae30\ud558\uace0 \uc790\uc2e0\uc774 \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uae09\uc18d\ud788 \uc5f0\ub8e8\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744\uae4c \ub450\ub824\uc6cc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubd81\ud55c\uc758 \ud589\ub3d9\uc744 \ud1b5\uc81c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud604\uc2e4\uc801\uc778 \ubc29\uc548\uc774 \uc5c6\uae30\uc5d0 \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ubd81\ud55c\uc744 \uc18c\uc6d0\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc77c\uc744 \ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\ub824 \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>The failures of policy on the Korean Peninsula are not those of China alone, but Beijing\u2019s risk aversion bespeaks a larger absence of will and imagination on China\u2019s part. Without a more candid conversation among Beijing, Seoul and Washington, the latent risk of an acute threat on the peninsula remains uncomfortably high.<\/p>\n<p>\ub300\ud55c\ubc18\ub3c4 \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \uc2e4\ud328\ub294 \uc911\uad6d\ub9cc\uc758 \uc2e4\ud328\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8\uae30\ud53c\uc99d\uc740 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uc790\uc2e0\uc758 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud568\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4\uc11c \uc758\uc9c0\ub098 \ucc3d\uc758\ub825\uc774 \ubd80\uc7ac\ud568\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d, \ud55c\uad6d, \ubbf8\uad6d \uac04\uc5d0 \uc880 \ub354 \uc9c4\uc194\ud55c \ub300\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uc774\ub294 \ud55c\ubc18\ub3c4\ub97c \uc704\ud611\ud558\ub294 \uc7a0\uc7ac\ub41c \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ubd88\ud3b8\ud560 \uc815\ub3c4\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>South Korea and the United States seem fully prepared for serious dialogue with China. Only Beijing seems unable to decide, leaving unaddressed the prospect of a severe crisis that cannot possibly be in China\u2019s interest.<\/p>\n<p>\ud55c\uad6d\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uc911\uad6d\uacfc \uc9c4\uc194\ud55c \ub300\ud654\ub97c \ub098\ub20c \uc900\ube44\uac00 \ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\ub294 \uac83 \uac19\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uc9c0 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uacb0\uc815\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc774\ud574\uc5d0 \ub9de\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \uc704\uae30 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc29\uce58\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc88\uc5ed \/ \uc774\uc0c8\ud558 \ud3c9\ud654\ubb38\uc81c\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c \uc5f0\uad6c\uc6d0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc678\uc2e0\uc77d\uae30 | January. 12, 2014 By Jonathan D. Pollack Why Does China Coddle North Korea? \uc911\uad6d, \ubd81\ud55c\uc5d0 \uca54\uca54\ub9e4\ub294 \uae4c\ub2ed? Mr. Jang\u2019s fall from power is the latest in a long<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[39],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3753","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-39"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/unikorea21.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3753","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/unikorea21.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/unikorea21.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/unikorea21.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/unikorea21.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3753"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/unikorea21.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3753\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17549,"href":"http:\/\/unikorea21.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3753\/revisions\/17549"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/unikorea21.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3753"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/unikorea21.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3753"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/unikorea21.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3753"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}